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The
Democratic Trend Phenomena discusses a unique and virtually
unknown phenomena pertaining to the popular vote for the
Democratic candidate for president.
The
author, Anthony E. Fairfax, brings to light compelling evidence
that the popular vote for the Democratic
candidate for president has trended in a predictable pattern
since 1980. If the election of 1976 is disregarded the trend is
revealed to actually begin in 1972.
This
unique predictability has been deemed by Fairfax as, “The
Democratic Trend Phenomena.” His book describes the cause of
the phenomena, measures its predictability, and outlines the
future effects.
"Amazingly,
the predictable trend occurs despite the fact that each
election contains varying turnout percentages, different U.S.
and global conditions, different opponents, and diverse
candidates," states Fairfax. The latter declaration may be
extremely intriguing and most likely controversial when you
consider the candidates range from George McGovern to
Bill Clinton to John
Kerry.
The
structure of this book is divided into four (4) distinct
sections. In addition, the statistical techniques used to prove
the presence of the predictable trend have been placed in a
separate section (Chapters 6 – 10). Those who are
statistically–challenged, but desire to obtain the essence of
the book, may choose to read only the descriptive portions
(Chapters 1-5 and 11-12). Nevertheless, those who wish to dust
off the old stats book (or crack open a new one) may find the
statistics chapters (Chapters 6-10) interesting along with the
data supplied in the Appendices.
Part One
of the book includes chapters that describe the phenomena as
well as discuss the historical environment that existed in order
to create the predictable trend itself. Part Two includes
chapters with statistical techniques that prove the presence of
the phenomena and other observable facts. Part Three reviews the
phenomena at the state level. Part Four includes chapters that
outline the future potential results regarding the popular vote
for the Democratic candidate for president.
It is
important to note that this book discusses “The Democratic
Trend Phenomena” which occurs at the Presidential level. It
does not address any phenomena that occurs at the congressional
level or any other lower political level. Thus, all descriptions
of the electorate pertain to the body of voters who vote for the
office of president.
Furthermore,
this book is not intended to promote or degrade a particular
Party’s point of view. Nor is it a book that addresses in
detail the demographic or socioeconomic attributes of any
particular Party electorate. Essentially, the purpose of this
book is to present and discuss an intriguing and practically
unknown phenomena pertaining to the popular vote for the
Democratic candidate for president.
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